Utah Mortgage Rates Keep Falling…

Just as I think we have hit the rock bottom in mortgage rates, the market just keeps creeping lower. It is amazing how long rates have stayed low and how low they have stayed. Almost every analyst in the industry predicted that by the start of school, rates would easily be back up in the mid 6′s, but here we are, with a 30 year mortgage now just over 4.0%. I would like to say now is the time to refinance, that there is no way rates will continue to fall. But, who knows where interest rates are headed.

If your credit is over a 720, you owe it to your family to analyze if a refinance can save you money over the long-term. If you do not own a home, you need to examine the benefits of home ownership. Undoubtedly there are some great deals on homes right now.

But where will all of this end? What will the Federal Reserve do in the next six months? While nobody can second guess what the Fed will do, with current economic indicators trending either neutral or negative right now, I am betting rates will stay low until the end of the year. With Obama’s new Federal mortgage guarantee proposal due in January, I think the Fed will leave everything on cruise control until at least then.

In January, most of what I read indicates that rates may rise slightly, depending on the details of Obama’s proposal to either replace or reinforce Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. There seems to be a ton of debate on the future of both government sponsored organizations that you can read about here.

In my opinion, I think Obama will present a plan that will create a merger of Fannie and Freddie. At the same time, markets will be manipulated to lower the interest rates to demonstrate what a fantastic idea the new organization is, creating a ton of excitement around the event. Lots of people will try to refinance then. After a couple of months when the polish wears off it will be back business as usual and we will see rates start to climb when the economy begins to improve.